Good morning and happy Monday.
Make America bet again.
On Friday, a US district judge sided with prediction market startup Kalshi in a case brought by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to block the platform from allowing users to bet on which political party will win control of the House of Representatives this November. The CFTC has since filed an emergency motion seeking a 14-day stay on bet-taking while they consider an appeal. Should the CFTC ultimately fail, Kalshi could make the election ever-so-slightly more tolerable for the betting-inclined: While nobody wants to see their favored party lose, a small wager on the opposition would be like a happiness hedge.
The Ever-Trickier Geopolitics of Being Elon Musk

If he weren’t mixing geopolitics with business, he wouldn’t be Elon Musk.
The world’s richest man has been engaged in an intense fight with a Brazilian supreme court judge, who ordered that X (née Twitter) be banned in the country. The fight with Brazil has highlighted how Musk’s interlocking array of companies can put him in a difficult geopolitical spot, as it spilled over into his satellite internet company Starlink. As Musk’s affiliation with the Trump campaign grows deeper, that political complexity could get more and more difficult to navigate.
Man of the World
For all his bluster, Musk is fairly selective when it comes to picking fights. He has railed against Brazil’s ban on X, saying that it constitutes gross state overreach and a suppression of freedom of speech. There are arguments to support that point of view, but Musk has been conspicuously demure about China’s ongoing ban on the platform, and has dutifully complied with censorship requests from Turkey and India.
This tells you a little something about Musk’s political positioning — and a lot about how vital China is to the success of Tesla. Musk achieved an extraordinary coup this year by getting China to let him roll out Tesla’s driver-assistance software in the country, which will reportedly come next year. But as Musk aligns more closely with with Donald Trump, the rapport he’s worked so hard to establish in the Middle Kingdom could come under threat:
- Trump announced last week that, if elected president again, he would create a “government efficiency commission” and said Musk had agreed to lead it. Musk has been at the heart of a Trump government before (he sat on two advisory councils), but he publicly resigned in response to the former president’s decision to withdraw the US from the Paris Agreement on climate change.
- Sitting close to Trump, whose administration got into a trade war with China, could position him far less favorably when dealing with the government there. Tesla is already facing stiff competition in the Chinese EV market from rivals that benefit from huge state subsidies.
In a Pickle: Last week, X lost a significant member of its geopolitical firefighting team. Nick Pickles, the company’s vice president of global affairs, left the company after 10 years. Pickles, who said his departure had been in the works for a few months, was promoted to his most recent role in June.
An AI Driven Robotics Company’s Unique Investment Opportunity

Monogram (Nasdaq: MGRM), known for its autonomous robotic surgical systems, completed a crowd funded public offering and NASDAQ listing last year. What’s next?
They just filed for FDA approval to market and commercialize their patented AI joint replacement tech. By the year 2027, 50% of knee replacement surgeries will be robotic – up from 12% today.
Now, Monogram’s offering a new chance for investors: the opportunity to invest in preferred stock with an 8% dividend (in cash or kind). Their common stock closed as high as $3.18 in the past two weeks, but the unlisted preferred stock (which is convertible into one share of common) is available for $2.25/share.
Monogram currently plans to close the Series D Preferred offering on September 12, 2024.*
White House Readying US Sovereign Fund Proposal
Move over, Norway; step aside, Saudi Arabia. The United States wants in on the sovereign wealth fund game.
White House officials are drafting plans to start a US sovereign wealth fund that could invest in national security interests like technology and energy firms, sources told Bloomberg. Donald Trump is on board with the concept too.
Lady Sovereign Liberty
Foreign countries have used sovereign wealth funds — basically, state-owned investment funds with returns that go back to their country — to become major international investors and buttress projects at home. Norway’s $1.7 trillion Government Pension Fund, set up in 1990 to invest oil revenue surpluses, held 1.5% of all the world’s listed companies as of last month. Saudi Arabia’s $925 billion Public Investment Fund has made notable investments abroad, including a 5% stake in Uber, but has also kept nearly two-thirds of its financing activities at home in order to spur local projects and infrastructure.
Details of what an American equivalent would look like remain fuzzy. Sources told Bloomberg the White House has yet to settle on a proposal for the fund’s “structure, funding model, and investment strategy,” while Trump, speaking at the New York Economic Club last week, only said that a US fund should support “great national endeavors.” Some economists, on the other hand, have their doubts:
- Former Treasury secretary and Harvard economist Larry Summers told Bloomberg TV that a wealth fund might make more sense “if you’re Norway or the Emirates — that has this huge natural resource that’s going to run out that you’re exporting — to accumulate a big wealth fund.” He also noted the US trade deficit, which stood at $79 billion in July, would pose an obstacle.
- Jared Bernstein, who chairs the White House’s Council of Economic Advisers, told Bloomberg TV he worries a fund could be exploited by presidents for political purposes, adding he is “very wary of getting involved in any kind of wealth fund.” He also noted US deficits, fueling the $35 trillion national debt, would make financing any fund a challenge.
Game Time: In one notable example of a top government official apparently influencing a wealth fund, the Saudi PIF took 5% stakes in gaming companies Capcom and Nexon — Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is reportedly an avid gamer.
Boeing Dodges a Work Stoppage in Washington
Here are two words that have not appeared in any news story about Boeing this summer: crisis averted.
On Sunday, the beleaguered (to say the least) plane-maker reached a tentative deal with the union representing its production workers in Washington state, likely dodging a strike that would have been (again, to say the least) incredibly untimely.
Gonna Fly Now
Boeing has had plenty on its plate this year, and negotiations with the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers (IAM) — the first since 2014 — have been looming in the background. In 2014, just six years after workers had embarked on an eight-week strike, they narrowly voted through a controversial new eight-year contract extension, from 2016 through 2024, that included higher healthcare costs and the loss of defined-benefit pensions.
This time around, with Boeing desperate to achieve escape velocity from its unending PR death spiral, IAM leaders have a little something they like to call “leverage.” And they made sure to capitalize on their unique opportunity:
- The four-year contract includes a 25% wage increase over the life of the deal, which the company said is its “largest-ever general wage increase,” and includes greater contributions to both healthcare costs and retirement funds.
- The deal also includes language guaranteeing that the manufacturing of any new commercial jet plane launched over the course of the contract would be based in the Puget Sound region. In 2014, Boeing scored union concessions by threatening to move production of the 777X away from the area.
The union called the tentative agreement “the best contract we’ve negotiated in our history,” and recommended the 33,000 workers in the district approve it in a vote scheduled for Thursday. It needs a simple majority to pass.
Safety First: IAM did miss in its quest to secure a board seat for workers, but it scored an annual meeting with the company’s safety committee and a semi-annual meeting with CEO Kelly Ortberg to discuss safety issues as a concession. All in all, we’ll call this a win, win, win: Workers got a raise, Boeing avoided a strike, and we, the passengers, hopefully have slightly safer giant metal tubes to launch us across the skies.
Extra Upside
- TV Trouble: Amid blackout, DirecTV files FCC complaint against Disney over alleged anticompetitive practices.
- You’re Hired: US employers added 142,000 jobs in August, besting July’s figures.
- Ever Wondered What Kind of Stock Could Be Worth 31 Nvidias? You’re not alone – that’s a $17 trillion market cap, which will catch just about anyone’s eye. But it’s real, and its potential projected value comes from the fact that some people are calling it the rocket fuel of the AI industry. Get the full scoop on what could potentially be your next great investment right here.**
** Partner
Just For Fun
Disclaimer
*This is a paid advertisement for Monogram Technologies Series D Preferred Stock offering. A prospectus supplement and accompanying base prospectus have been filed with the SEC. Before making any investment, you are urged to read the prospectus supplement and accompanying base prospectus carefully for a more complete understanding of the issuer and the offering.
The securities offered by Monogram are highly speculative. Investing in these securities involves significant risks. The investment is suitable only for persons who can afford to lose their entire investment. Investors must understand that such investment could be illiquid for an indefinite period of time. There is no existing public trading market for the Series D Preferred Stock. Monogram does not intend to apply for listing of the Series D Preferred Stock or the common stock purchase warrants on a national securities exchange or quoted on an over the counter market.
DealMaker Securities LLC, a registered broker-dealer, and member of FINRA | SIPC, located at 105 Maxess Road, Suite 124, Melville, NY 11747, is the Intermediary for this offering and is not an affiliate of or connected with the Issuer. Please check our background on FINRA’s BrokerCheck.